USDA ERS: Sugar and Sweeteners Outlook April 16, 2025

Sugar and Sweeteners Outlook April 16, 2025

U.S. Outlook Summary

U.S. 2024/25 Sugar Production is Lowered

Domestic sugar production in 2024/25 is lowered from last month by 39,000 STRV to 9.369

million, as the increase in beet sugar production is more than offset by the decrease in cane sugar

production (table 1, figure 2). Despite the downward adjustment, the 2024/25 domestic sugar

output would be a record, surpassing last year’s 9.313 million STRV.

U.S. beet sugar production is increased slightly by 2,000 STRV to a record 5.391 million. Sucrose

recovery is increased from 15.349 percent to 15.415 percent, based on statistical analysis of data

through February, but was offset by an increased estimate of beet-pile shrink and reduced sugar

production expected from molasses that processors submitted to the USDA, Farm Service

Agency, Sweetener Market Data (SMD) report.

USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) released its Prospective Plantings report

on March 31, which indicated that sugarbeet growers intend to plant 1.132 million acres for the

upcoming 2025/26 crop year. This planting implies a 2.5-percent increase from the 2024/25

area planted. Beet processors determine planted area mainly based on optimizing sugarbeet

slicing capacity for the upcoming campaign.

Florida’s cane sugar production is lowered by 41,000 STRV to 1.930 million, based on lower

yield forecasts submitted by the processors in the SMD. With the conclusion of Louisiana’s

sugar production campaign in January, Louisiana’s output is unchanged at a record 2.049

million STRV, implying larger production than Florida for 3 of the last 4 years. Total cane sugar

production is therefore reduced by 41,000 STRV to 3.978 million STRV, down 163,000 STRV

from last year.